Iran – Forecast 2020

Iran – Forecast 2020

The IRGC and political protests 2019 was a very challenging year for Iran: Economic hardship and stagflation, massive domestic protests and violent repression of them, external sanctions, and political pressure have left a heavy footprint as the country moves into...
February’s Majles election

February’s Majles election

The first important political event in 2020 will occur on 21 February with the Majles election. So far, the most notable declared candidate for the Iranian parliament is former Tehran mayor and presidential candidate Mohammad Baquer Qalibaf. In the absence of...
The logic behind Iran’s fuel prices rises

The logic behind Iran’s fuel prices rises

Major protests and social unrest erupted in Iran on 16 November on the day after the government announced a sudden hike in fuel prices, which are heavily subsidised. The price of petrol used to be IRR10,000 (US$0.09) per litre. On 15 November, the government announced...
Iran in the next six months

Iran in the next six months

The intense factional competition is ramping up in anticipation of the 21 February 2020 election to the Majles. These rivalries will heighten domestic tensions and paralyse political decision making in the coming months. Hardliners will use the current anti-corruption...
Iran’s anti-corruption campaign

Iran’s anti-corruption campaign

Efforts to tackle corruption have intensified in Iran and, in terms of number of cases and status of targeted individuals, the current campaign is unprecedented. A growing number of former government officials are either in prison or being prosecuted for corruption....